Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Coleman wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.1%
Defensive zone
Coleman 69.3%
Neutral zone
Coleman 60.2%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Coleman
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Coleman
MacKinnon
Last 10: Coleman 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
4
3
Coleman
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
1
Coleman
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
7
Coleman
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
46.1% (11,218)
-0.8%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
53.3% (1,412)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
42.8% (502)
-7.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
44.5% (663)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
41.4% (759)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
42.4%
47.4%
P2
44.6%
46.6%
P3
41.7%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |