Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Horvat 56.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Lizotte
Horvat
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
4
Lizotte
Horvat
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
3
Lizotte
Horvat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
55.6% (1,066)
-4.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
65.4% (289)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
49.2% (120)
+1.7%
On even strength, Horvat has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
52.5% (326)
58.8% (724)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.3% (751)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
51.4%
57.0%
P2
56.3%
57.5%
P3
46.1%
57.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |