Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Horvat 57.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lizotte
Horvat
Last 9: Lizotte 6-3 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Horvat
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
58.6% (987)
-5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
60.6% (251)
-60.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
45.7% (81)
-7.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +60.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
52.0% (198)
59.2% (684)
Away
49.7% (149)
57.0% (635)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
50.0%
57.9%
P2
50.9%
55.4%
P3
52.2%
61.5%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |