Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Horvat 54.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Lizotte
Horvat
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lizotte
Horvat
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
8
Lizotte
Horvat
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
3
Lizotte
Horvat
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.9% (12,606)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
61.0% (2,699)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
47.1% (1,494)
-4.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
49.5% (1,840)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
48.0%
54.1%
P2
52.3%
54.4%
P3
50.5%
55.0%
OT
75.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |