Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Horvat 53.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 64.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
53.5% (1,071)
-5.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.3% (272)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
51.3% (76)
-10.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
48.8% (170)
54.2% (714)
Away
45.1% (195)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
44.4%
53.5%
P2
53.3%
56.3%
P3
43.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |