Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Horvat 55.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 83.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
55.3% (682)
-2.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
62.2% (230)
-37.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
46.5% (101)
-3.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
44.2% (242)
58.2% (469)
Away
56.0% (234)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
49.6%
59.6%
P2
46.9%
53.1%
P3
52.6%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |