Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Larkin 52.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 66.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Lizotte
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lizotte
Larkin
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Lizotte
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Lizotte
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
51.0% (973)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
59.5% (252)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
49.6% (137)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Lizotte shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Larkin
Home
48.5% (336)
54.9% (721)
Away
52.1% (286)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Lizotte
Larkin
P1
48.2%
52.4%
P2
54.1%
50.8%
P3
47.1%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |