Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Larkin 55.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 71.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Lizotte
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lizotte
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Lizotte
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lizotte
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
55.9% (943)
-8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.4% (244)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.2% (106)
-4.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Larkin
Home
48.8% (170)
56.0% (654)
Away
45.1% (195)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Lizotte
Larkin
P1
44.4%
54.4%
P2
53.3%
55.9%
P3
43.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |