Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Larkin 54.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 64.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Lizotte
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lizotte
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
52.6% (1,117)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
60.7% (305)
-60.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
55.9% (177)
-17.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Larkin
Home
52.0% (198)
54.7% (783)
Away
49.7% (149)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Lizotte
Larkin
P1
50.0%
55.9%
P2
50.9%
56.1%
P3
52.2%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |