Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Duchene 52.8% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 79.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 56.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lizotte
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
46.9% (162)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
73.2% (56)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
100.0% (2)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Duchene
Home
52.5% (326)
58.4% (125)
Away
50.5% (281)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Lizotte
Duchene
P1
51.4%
56.9%
P2
56.3%
52.5%
P3
46.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%