Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Duchene 55.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 61.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Lizotte
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
56.5% (566)
-8.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
61.3% (62)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
22.2% (9)
+19.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Duchene
Home
48.8% (170)
56.6% (318)
Away
45.1% (195)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Lizotte
Duchene
P1
44.4%
57.2%
P2
53.3%
55.1%
P3
43.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |