Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Duchene 51.6% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 83.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 62.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lizotte
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
51.2% (324)
+1.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
60.4% (53)
-35.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
16.7% (6)
+26.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Duchene
Home
44.2% (242)
51.6% (182)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Lizotte
Duchene
P1
49.6%
49.6%
P2
46.9%
56.2%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%