Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 58.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lizotte
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
53.0% (723)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
49.5% (101)
-49.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
43.8% (16)
-5.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Duchene
Home
52.0% (198)
54.9% (408)
Away
49.7% (149)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Lizotte
Duchene
P1
50.0%
52.5%
P2
50.9%
51.7%
P3
52.2%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%