Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
6
Lizotte
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
46.1% (11,218)
+5.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
53.3% (1,412)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
42.8% (502)
-0.5%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
48.0%
47.4%
P2
52.3%
46.6%
P3
50.5%
46.1%
OT
75.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |