Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
45.8% (755)
+5.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
48.3% (60)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
27.6% (29)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
52.5% (326)
49.5% (396)
Away
50.5% (281)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
43.8%
P3
46.1%
41.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |