Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
44.7% (1,053)
+7.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
36.8% (95)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
65.0% (20)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
51.4% (383)
49.4% (553)
Away
50.9% (424)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
48.8%
45.3%
P2
51.0%
42.7%
P3
53.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%