Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 89.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
50.0% (992)
+2.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
64.9% (148)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
34.4% (32)
+8.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
44.2% (242)
53.3% (591)
Away
56.0% (234)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
49.6%
49.9%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%