Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.2%). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lizotte
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lizotte
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.4% (94)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
40.0% (30)
+1.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
48.8% (170)
47.8% (670)
Away
45.1% (195)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
44.4%
45.3%
P2
53.3%
48.5%
P3
43.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |