Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Paul 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Lizotte
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
53.0% (644)
-1.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
37.5% (24)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
42.9% (177)
+8.0%
On power play, Lizotte has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Paul
Home
52.5% (326)
52.5% (516)
Away
50.5% (281)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Lizotte
Paul
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
56.3%
48.4%
P3
46.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |