Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Paul 53.9% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Lizotte
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
53.1% (710)
-5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.3% (199)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
58.0% (69)
-16.7%
On power play, Paul has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Paul
Home
48.8% (170)
56.0% (466)
Away
45.1% (195)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Lizotte
Paul
P1
44.4%
57.2%
P2
53.3%
54.9%
P3
43.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%