Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Paul 50.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Lizotte
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
48.8% (666)
+4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
53.8% (65)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
60.0% (55)
-21.4%
On power play, Paul has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Paul
Home
52.0% (198)
49.7% (348)
Away
49.7% (149)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Lizotte
Paul
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
50.9%
47.4%
P3
52.2%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |