Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Thomas 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lizotte
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Thomas
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
49.0% (910)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.5% (142)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
53.3% (75)
-2.4%
On power play, Lizotte has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thomas
Home
52.5% (326)
47.3% (514)
Away
50.5% (281)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Lizotte
Thomas
P1
51.4%
50.4%
P2
56.3%
47.5%
P3
46.1%
51.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |