Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Lizotte
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Lizotte
Thomas
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
8
Lizotte
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
1
Lizotte
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
3
Lizotte
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.1% (5,350)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
55.8% (921)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
49.9% (691)
-7.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thomas
Home
49.5% (1,840)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Lizotte
Thomas
P1
48.0%
50.6%
P2
52.3%
52.9%
P3
50.5%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |