Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Thomas 52.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 50.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Lizotte
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lizotte
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Lizotte
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Lizotte
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
53.6% (924)
-1.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
55.2% (181)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.0% (116)
-2.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thomas
Home
51.4% (383)
53.6% (606)
Away
50.9% (424)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Lizotte
Thomas
P1
48.8%
48.2%
P2
51.0%
55.3%
P3
53.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |