Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 71.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 60.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Lizotte
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lizotte
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Lizotte
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
53.2% (1,166)
-5.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.9% (262)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
48.4% (221)
-7.1%
On power play, Thomas has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thomas
Home
48.8% (170)
51.6% (830)
Away
45.1% (195)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Lizotte
Thomas
P1
44.4%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
55.6%
P3
43.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |