Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Poehling 46.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 80.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lizotte
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lizotte
Poehling
Last 6: Lizotte 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
46.5% (269)
+6.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
66.7% (3)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
42.4% (139)
-1.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Poehling
Home
51.4% (383)
45.2% (177)
Away
50.9% (424)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Lizotte
Poehling
P1
48.8%
47.7%
P2
51.0%
44.4%
P3
53.5%
44.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |