Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Poehling 48.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 71.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Lizotte
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
4
(20 meetings)
16
4
Lizotte
Poehling
Last 10: Lizotte 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
1
Lizotte
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
1
Lizotte
Poehling
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
49.4% (2,726)
+2.2%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
51.6% (93)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
41.6% (623)
+0.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Poehling
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Lizotte
Poehling
P1
48.0%
50.9%
P2
52.3%
47.0%
P3
50.5%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |