Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 60.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Lizotte
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
49.8% (626)
+3.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
58.3% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
38.2% (207)
+4.9%
On power play, Poehling has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Poehling
Home
44.2% (242)
47.3% (404)
Away
56.0% (234)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Lizotte
Poehling
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
46.9%
39.4%
P3
52.6%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |