Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.9%). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Poehling 50.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 63.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Lizotte
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
52.6% (622)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
39.8% (103)
-1.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Poehling
Home
52.0% (198)
53.2% (393)
Away
49.7% (149)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Lizotte
Poehling
P1
50.0%
50.9%
P2
50.9%
56.2%
P3
52.2%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |