Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Poehling 49.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 64.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 82.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 71.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Lizotte
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lizotte
Poehling
Last 10: Lizotte 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
50.4% (752)
-2.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
37.0% (27)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
45.3% (159)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Poehling
Home
48.8% (170)
51.2% (467)
Away
45.1% (195)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Lizotte
Poehling
P1
44.4%
54.6%
P2
53.3%
46.7%
P3
43.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |