Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 53.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Lizotte
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
51.5% (641)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
62.8% (129)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
33.3% (9)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
52.5% (326)
53.9% (362)
Away
50.5% (281)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
51.4%
48.0%
P2
56.3%
57.0%
P3
46.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |