Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Monahan 53.9% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 61.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lizotte
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
54.5% (231)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
58.2% (67)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
52.2% (23)
-10.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
51.4% (383)
53.5% (144)
Away
50.9% (424)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
48.8%
52.5%
P2
51.0%
50.9%
P3
53.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%