Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 78.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Lizotte
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lizotte
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
52.4% (853)
+1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
58.6% (174)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
46.5% (144)
-7.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
52.0% (198)
53.4% (624)
Away
49.7% (149)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
50.0%
53.7%
P2
50.9%
52.4%
P3
52.2%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |