Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 79.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Lizotte
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Lizotte
Monahan
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
7
Lizotte
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
2
Lizotte
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Lizotte
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
53.7% (2,580)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
46.0% (766)
-3.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
48.0%
50.9%
P2
52.3%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |