Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Monahan 54.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 64.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Lizotte
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lizotte
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lizotte
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
57.1% (871)
-9.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
53.1% (262)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
44.6% (139)
-3.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
48.8% (170)
55.3% (644)
Away
45.1% (195)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
44.4%
53.9%
P2
53.3%
55.3%
P3
43.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |