Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Giroux 57.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 64.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 59.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Horvat
Giroux
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Giroux
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
7
Horvat
Giroux
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
59.7% (750)
-5.0%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
62.6% (190)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
51.6% (281)
+0.5%
On even strength, Giroux has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
59.8% (853)
59.5% (580)
Away
53.8% (832)
57.3% (641)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
55.0%
56.6%
P2
58.3%
58.0%
P3
57.8%
60.8%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
64.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 01:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |