Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Giroux 60.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 70.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 60.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Horvat
Giroux
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
3
Horvat
Giroux
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Giroux
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
59.6% (606)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
69.3% (150)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
61.4% (220)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
59.2% (684)
65.7% (461)
Away
57.0% (635)
57.7% (515)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
57.9%
60.7%
P2
55.4%
63.7%
P3
61.5%
60.2%
OT
53.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.9%
63.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |