Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Giroux 57.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 63.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 90.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 69.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Horvat
Giroux
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
3
Horvat
Giroux
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Giroux
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Giroux
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
55.5% (661)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
65.5% (194)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
58.6% (297)
-7.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
54.2% (714)
59.0% (576)
Away
53.6% (705)
56.9% (576)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
53.5%
57.0%
P2
56.3%
58.1%
P3
53.5%
58.9%
OT
28.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |