Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 28 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Giroux 56.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 83-73 in 156 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 69.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 61.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 61.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
83
-
73
(156 meetings)
83
73
Horvat
Giroux
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
32
33
Horvat
Giroux
65 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
34
29
Horvat
Giroux
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
17
11
Horvat
Giroux
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
55.8% (13,861)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
60.5% (4,075)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
57.4% (2,518)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
56.0% (8,355)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
54.1%
57.5%
P2
54.4%
56.2%
P3
55.0%
57.3%
OT
49.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |