Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Giroux 60.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Giroux
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
4
Horvat
Giroux
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
60.3% (395)
-5.0%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
67.3% (107)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
65.4% (153)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
58.2% (469)
65.9% (337)
Away
54.0% (544)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
59.6%
62.1%
P2
53.1%
64.5%
P3
55.5%
60.9%
OT
55.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |