Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.2%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Evans 55.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Evans
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Horvat
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
56.2% (477)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
70.0% (10)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
55.4% (204)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
58.1% (449)
55.3% (374)
Away
54.0% (544)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
59.2%
58.5%
P2
53.1%
55.7%
P3
55.8%
53.9%
OT
55.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |