Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 45 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Evans 52.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 64-36 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
36
(100 meetings)
64
36
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
42
3
Horvat
Evans
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
8
22
Horvat
Evans
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
11
Horvat
Evans
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
53.8% (3,695)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
60.0% (70)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
47.1% (1,222)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
56.0% (8,355)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
54.1%
54.0%
P2
54.4%
50.9%
P3
55.0%
52.0%
OT
49.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |