Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Evans 51.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Evans
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
54.5% (483)
+0.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
58.3% (12)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
43.9% (155)
+8.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
59.8% (853)
49.4% (336)
Away
53.8% (832)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
55.0%
55.8%
P2
58.3%
51.7%
P3
57.8%
48.2%
OT
44.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |