Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Evans 49.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 65.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
0
Horvat
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.3% (739)
+4.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
53.3% (15)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
43.0% (172)
+6.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
58.8% (724)
52.1% (503)
Away
55.3% (751)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
57.0%
50.5%
P2
57.5%
47.7%
P3
57.0%
51.3%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |