Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Evans 52.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
8
Horvat
Evans
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
54.4% (807)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
55.0% (20)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
46.1% (310)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
54.2% (714)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.6% (705)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
53.5%
54.6%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
53.5%
52.3%
OT
28.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jake Evans |