Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Evans 52.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
0
Horvat
Evans
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Horvat
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
54.4% (824)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
66.7% (9)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
48.1% (289)
-2.4%
On power play, Evans has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
59.2% (684)
55.1% (541)
Away
57.0% (635)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
57.9%
51.8%
P2
55.4%
53.3%
P3
61.5%
53.8%
OT
53.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |