Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Pageau 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Horvat
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Horvat
Pageau
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Horvat
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Horvat
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
51.6% (896)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
49.2% (63)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
50.0% (174)
+3.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
53.0% (673)
51.2% (559)
Away
54.5% (651)
51.2% (574)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
51.9%
50.4%
P2
54.8%
52.4%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |