Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Pageau 58.8% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Horvat
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
59.1% (687)
-3.8%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
69.4% (36)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
60.1% (213)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
58.2% (469)
57.8% (377)
Away
54.0% (544)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
59.6%
54.1%
P2
53.1%
62.1%
P3
55.5%
61.8%
OT
55.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%