Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Pageau 55.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Horvat
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
57.1% (905)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
55.2% (116)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
48.0% (204)
+3.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
54.2% (714)
57.0% (618)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
53.5%
54.4%
P2
56.3%
61.0%
P3
53.5%
51.0%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%