Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Pageau 58.7% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Horvat
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
59.6% (711)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
64.0% (114)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
56.4% (163)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
59.2% (684)
59.3% (506)
Away
57.0% (635)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
57.9%
56.8%
P2
55.4%
64.4%
P3
61.5%
56.9%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%